How Government Spending Priorities Breaks the Poverty Cycle: Evidence from East Indonesia

Andi Arfanita; Nursini Nursini; Syukri Adya Utami

doi:10.26740/independent.v5i3.73796

Penulis

Andi Arfanita Universitas Hasanuddin
Nursini Nursini Hasanuddin University https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5374-7883
Syukri Adya Utami Hasanuddin University https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4545-3711

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26740/independent.v5i3.73796

Kata Kunci:

Fiscal Policy, Poverty, Economic Growth

Abstrak

Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengevaluasi efektivitas kebijakan fiskal dalam mengurangi kemiskinan di Indonesia Timur, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung melalui belanja kesehatan dan pendidikan serta pertumbuhan ekonomi. Dalam konteks ini, kebijakan fiskal diukur melalui pendapatan asli daerah, dana transfer, dan pinjaman daerah, yang digunakan untuk membiayai belanja kesehatan dan pendidikan. Sementara itu, variabel terikat akan diproksikan dengan persentase penduduk miskin (P0). Pandemi juga akan dimasukkan dalam analisis sebagai variabel kontrol. Regresi dengan metode Three-Stage Least Square (3SLS) akan digunakan dalam penelitian ini, melibatkan dua belas provinsi dari tahun 2010 hingga 2023, dengan estimasi model fixed-effect. Setelah melakukan robustness check, penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa pendapatan daerah, yang diukur melalui pendapatan asli daerah, dana transfer, dan pinjaman pemerintah, telah secara signifikan mempengaruhi kemiskinan, baik secara langsung maupun tidak langsung melalui pengeluaran untuk pendidikan dan kesehatan serta saluran pertumbuhan ekonomi. Ini berarti bahwa variabel-variabel tersebut dapat memainkan peran yang signifikan dalam mengurangi kemiskinan di Indonesia Timur. Oleh karena itu, kebijakan yang bertujuan untuk meningkatkan pendapatan daerah, mengoptimalkan transfer dana, dan memprioritaskan alokasi pengeluaran serta pinjaman pada pembangunan yang secara luas menguntungkan masyarakat miskin, sangat penting untuk mempercepat pengurangan kemiskinan di Indonesia Timur.

Unduhan

Data unduhan belum tersedia.

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