Analisis Faktor Makroekonomi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Perekonomian Di Indonesia

Andaru Rachmaning Dias Prayitno; Muh. Imaduddin Akbar; Maula Fadhilata Rahmatika; Febrian

doi:10.26740/independent.v5i3.74303

Penulis

Andaru Rachmaning Dias Prayitno Universitas Negeri Surabaya
Muh. Imaduddin Akbar Universitas Negeri Surabaya
Maula Fadhilata Rahmatika Universitas Negeri Surabaya
Febrian Universitas Negeri Surabaya

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.26740/independent.v5i3.74303

Kata Kunci:

Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Suku Bunga, Exchange Rate, Inflation, Indonesia

Abstrak

Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis pengaruh faktor makroekonomi utama, yaitu suku bunga (BI Rate), nilai tukar Rupiah/USD, dan inflasi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia dalam periode 2011–2019. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah kuantitatif dengan pendekatan analisis regresi linier menggunakan data time-series triwulanan. Estimasi model dilakukan dengan metode Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) setelah memenuhi uji asumsi klasik. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan, ketiga variabel berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi. Namun secara parsial, hanya suku bunga dan nilai tukar yang memberikan dampak negatif signifikan, di mana kenaikan 1% pada masing-masing variabel tersebut menurunkan pertumbuhan ekonomi sebesar 0,13% dan 2,06%. Inflasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan, diduga karena relatif stabil dalam periode pengamatan. Simpulan penelitian mengkonfirmasi bahwa suku bunga dan nilai tukar merupakan faktor makroekonomi yang konsisten mempengaruhi kinerja pertumbuhan ekonomi Indonesia sebelum periode pandemi.

Unduhan

Data unduhan belum tersedia.

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