PENGARUH TINGKAT PENGANGGURAN TERHADAP INFLASI DI KOTA SURABAYA

Abstract

This study examines the effect of the unemployment rate to the inflation in the
city of Surabaya in 1998-2011. The purpose of this study was to determine
whether the unemployment rate affect inflation and also to forecast the
unemployment rate and inflation until 2020. Analysis techniques used are vector
autoregressive analysis techniques (var). From the analysis it can be concluded
that the unemployment rate had no significant effect on inflation in the city of
Surabaya. addition to the results of analysis also showed the state of inflation for
2013 and 2014 are 7.3% and 2014 up to 2020 was 7.2%, while unemployment in
the year 2013 to 2020 amounted to 8.6 to 8.8 %.
Keyword: unemployment, inflation